Shana09 5,769 Posted October 24, 2012 Last year it was Hurricane Irene, now it's Hurricane Sandy Cheeks. Sandy has a HUGE chance of dealing actual damage towards the Northeast, maybe not directly, but it will be close enough to throw huge gusts of wind here. Now it may not me a tropical storm once it reaches here, where it says here: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201218_5day.html (In order to understand it, the bigger the circle it is the lesser confidence it has of where exactly it will be in that circle) It has a chance of combining itself with a Nor'easter, which is a storm that is coming near here by a low trough (aka winter-rain stormy stuff. If it does do that, it will automatically become a lot more dangerous, become a hurricane and possibly a major one and impact the Northeast. I am making this thread for the people living from North Carolina to New England, maybe even Canada. Here are some sites where you can check out weather and most specifically, Hurricane stuff: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ http://www.weather.com/ http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Ill copy and paste some stuff from these sites and other news articles about it. c: Ill also keep this updated if anyone cares. The chances of an extremely powerful storm affecting New Jersey early next week have increased considerably in the last 24 hours, according to the National Weather Service.All eyes are fixed on now Hurricane Sandy, churning slowly northward in the southern Caribbean, which is expected to play a crucial role in the potential development of a powerful nor’easter that could begin affecting the Garden State as early as Sunday.“The risk has gone up,” said Gary Szatkowski, the meteorologist in charge at the National Weather Service’s Mount Holly office. “This is a dangerous situation.”Szatkowski said the number of forecast models and instruments indicating the possibility for New Jersey to be affected by a major storm have increased significantly since Tuesday. Under the worst case scenario, Sandy could merge with a developing nor’easter, adding tropical moisture to an already powerful storm and pummeling New Jersey over a period of several days with hurricane-force winds, torrential rain and severe coastal and inland flooding.Szatkowski cautioned that much is still uncertain and forecasts can change in the coming days, but the potential for such a storm needs to be taken seriously.“This is a very dangerous storm wherever it winds up, the problem is we don’t know where exactly it’s going to end up,” he said. “The east coast has a pretty good shot at getting affected by this though, and that’s one of the reasons this needs to be taken very seriously.”A number of factors are working against the Garden State as this situation develops, the weather service said.First, the storm is expected to affect the region during a full moon, when the tides are highest, increasing the possibility of a major coastal flooding event. Second, the storm is forecast to move very slowly through the region, potentially affecting the state with high winds and flooding rains for several days. Lastly, unlike a hurricane, winds can extend very far from the center of a nor’easter, increasing the chances that the state could experience wind damage even if the storm develops further off the coast.“There’s been some discussion about whether it’s going to be tropical or non-tropical by the time it gets up here,” he Szatkowski said. “But that’s really a labeling thing. Whether it’s a tropical system with hurricane-force winds or a nor’easter with hurricane-force winds, I’m not sure it matters much.”In response to the threat, New Jersey’s emergency management officials have started to warn residents about the potential for a major storm.“This storm has the potential to affect the east coast from Florida all the way to New York within the next week,” Monmouth County Sheriff Shaun Golden said. “I urge residents to prepare, plan and stay informed about the coming hurricane.” Source: http://www.nj.com/weather-guy/index.ssf/2012/10/chances_of_nj_being_affected_b.htmlHurricane Sandy hit the southeastern tip of Jamaica near 3:20 pm EDT this afternoon, as a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds and a 973 mb pressure. According to NOAA's Historical Hurricane Tracks website, Sandy is the thirteenth hurricane to make a direct hit on the island, and the first since Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. Kingston, Jamaica recorded sustained winds of 44 mph and a pressure of 972 mb in the west eyewall of Sandy at 4 pm EDT. The eastern tip of Jamaica will see the strongest winds of the right-front quadrant and the heaviest damage, though. A distorted eye is apparent on visible satellite loops, but Sandy is showing only minor disruption to its inner core structure as a result of hitting Jamaica. According to the Jamaica Observer, "Alligator Pond [in St Elizabeth] was inundated with the high waves that came ashore. We are now getting reports of impacts out in St. Catherine, Portland and St. Thomas as the ground becomes saturated. We are now seeing where light poles are toppling and landslides being reported and roadway being flooded to the point where there is impeded access in east St. Thomas." Heavy rains from Sandy are falling in Haiti. A NOAA forecast based on microwave satellite data predicts 12 inches of rain for the tip of Haiti's southwestern Peninsula, which will likely cause life-threatening flash flooding. Fortunately, much lighter rainfall amounts are predicted for the capital of Port-au-Prince, where 350,000 people still live in the open under tarps in the wake of the January 2010 earthquake. In August, flooding from Hurricane Isaac killed at least 29 people in Haiti.Near-term forecast for SandySandy doesn't have much time over water before it makes landfall on the southeastern coast of Cuba near 10 pm EDT this Wednesday night, and the strongest the storm is likely to be then is a 90 mph Category 1. Passage over the rugged terrain of Cuba should weaken Sandy's winds by 20 - 30 mph, and will likely destroy the hurricane's eyewall. It will be difficult for the storm to rebuild its eyewall and regain all of that lost strength, in the face of the high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots it will encounter Thursday and Friday. However, the loss of the eyewall will cause Sandy's radius of tropical storm-force winds to expand, spreading out the winds over a wider area of ocean, and increasing the storm surge threat. This large wind field will likely drive a storm surge of 5 - 8 feet in the Bahamas, which is more characteristic of a storm with winds 20 mph higher. I expect that Sandy will be a 65 - 70 mph tropical storm as it traverses the Bahamas, and the storm will make its closest pass by Nassau around 10 pm EDT Thursday.Sandy: a potential billion-dollar storm for the mid-Atlantic, New England, and CanadaThe latest set of 12Z (8 am EDT) model runs are in, and they portray an increased risk to the U.S. and Canadian East Coasts for early next week. The GFS model, which had been showing that Sandy would head to the northeast out to sea, now has changed its tune, and predicts that Sandy will double back and hit Maine on Tuesday evening. The ECMWF model, which has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy, now has the storm hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon. These models are predicting that Sandy will get caught up by the trough approaching the Eastern U.S., which will inject a large amount of energy into the storm, converting it to a powerful subtropical storm with a central pressure below 960 mb and sustained winds of 60 - 70 mph. Winds of this strength would likely cause massive power outages, as trees still in leaf take out power lines. Also of great concern are Sandy's rains. Given that ocean temperatures along the Northeast U.S. coast are about 5°F above average, there will be an unusually large amount of water vapor available to make heavy rain. If the trough of low pressure approaching the East Coast taps into the large reservoir of cold air over Canada and pulls down a significant amount of Arctic air, as predicted, the potential exists for the unusually moist air from Sandy to collide with this cold air from Canada and unleash the heaviest October rains ever recorded in the Northeast U.S. Another huge concern is storm surge flooding. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding. There remains a lot of model uncertainty on where Sandy might go, and I still give a 30% chance that the storm will have a minimal impact on the U.S. An extra set of balloon-borne radiosondes is going to be launched at 2 pm EDT on Thursday all across the U.S., which should help tomorrow evening's model runs make better forecasts of where Sandy might go. Extra radiosondes will be launched every 6 hours through Saturday afternoon. Source: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2272Sandy has the potential to bring significant impacts to the U.S. East Coast through the weekend and into early next week.Let's break down the timeline for Sandy, starting with its Caribbean and Southeast U.S. impacts, then going into the potential serious threat the system poses to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.From early Thursday through Friday, Sandy will track from eastern Cuba to the Bahamas. Other than potential hurricane-force winds in Jamaica, eastern Cuba and the Bahamas as the center passes through those locations, another major threat from Sandy will be heavy rain, flash flooding, and mudslides, generally to the north and east of the center's track.This is particularly a concern over the higher terrain of Jamaica, eastern Cuba, Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Heavy rain will also soak much of the Bahamas to the tune of 5-10" or more. Since Sandy is expected to be a large system, it will also have impacts along the Southeast coast into Saturday.Although Sandy's center is expected to remain well off the Southeast coast Friday into Saturday, it will bring peripheral effects. The pressure gradient between Sandy and high pressure in the Northeast U.S. will lead to increasingly strong winds over the Florida Peninsula, spreading northward to the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Virginia Beach through at least SaturdayRip currents, high surf, and, eventually, some coastal flooding are possible in areas of the most persistent onshore flow. Bands of rain on the outer periphery of the circulation will occasionally wrap into the coast, as well.Wind gusts could reach 40 to 50 mph along Florida's eastern coast later Thursday into Friday.As we head from late weekend into early next week, our focus turns to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast,where Sandy could be a serious threat.Forecast guidance is indicating that the steering pattern for Sandy is setting up to be a potential major concern for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.A so-called "blocking pattern" in the upper levels of the atmosphere over the Atlantic appears to be strong enough that it will not allow the storm to turn east into the open Atlantic, but, rather, drive northward just off the East Coast.Furthermore, the upper-level trough in the polar jet stream will provide an additional turbo-charged boost to this low, producing an intense, East Coast storm!High winds, heavy rain, major coastal flooding and beach erosion could pummel portions of the Northeast seaboard early next week. Of course, the high winds would extend inland, with the potential for downed trees and powerlines.This setup could even wrap in just enough cold air on its western edge to produce wet snow, possibly heavy, in some areas of the eastern Great Lakes and Appalachians! Eerily, this would take place around the one-year anniversary of the "Snowtober" snowstorm. Residents of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic should remain vigilant and be prepared to take action in the next few days.Details of exactly where the worst impacts will be felt are highly uncertain at this time.We'll continue to refine our forecast here at weather.com and The Weather Channel. Check back with us often as this potentially major storm unfolds. Source: http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/tropics-scenarios-us-threat-20121022?pageno=1Images:It is probably coming on Monday or early Tuesday. I hope you guys don't get hurt in any way. Also if you have any questions to ask, then ask them here and I will try my best to help. c: Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Yang 1,859 Posted October 24, 2012 And that's Shana's weather report of the day. Today's show was brought to you by books: "Because reading books is so groundbreakingly fun." 8 Shana09, Rob, Stardustblade358 and 5 others reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shana09 5,769 Posted October 24, 2012 And that's Shana's weather report of the day. Today's show was brought to you by books: "Because reading books is so groundbreakingly fun." xDD inb4 no1currs about this thread 2 Yang and TheApprenticeofKingMickey reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Queen Tery 4,591 Posted October 24, 2012 That sucks. I'm in the East Coast. 5 PillowHead, Rob, LordOfTheCastle and 2 others reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amon 4,279 Posted October 24, 2012 inb4 Global Warming. 7 Rob, TheApprenticeofKingMickey, Jim and 4 others reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shana09 5,769 Posted October 24, 2012 That sucks. I'm in the East Coast. I was actually expecting something like this was gonna happen, and then I gave up on the idea it would happen and then look what came, Sandy. Good luck Trey~ D: 1 Queen Tery reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Queen Tery 4,591 Posted October 24, 2012 Good luck Shana~ D: 1 Shana09 reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kishira 2,854 Posted October 24, 2012 Good thing I'm in the southeast. σωσ; Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wolfgang 735 Posted October 24, 2012 snow please snow 1 LordOfTheCastle reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shana09 5,769 Posted October 24, 2012 Good thing I'm in the southeast. σωσ; Its a huge storm, the clouds will come to you like Florida will get stuff from this storm. Which state are you at again? Georgia? snow please snow ppl say there is a chance of snow showers since its combining itself with a nor'easter, which is coming to us (duh thats why its called a nor'easter, aka northeast winter storm) but what i think might be a possibility, is that the snow might be eliminated? Then again, can't say for sure, im no expert. 1 Kishira reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Silvia Kuroi 1,480 Posted October 24, 2012 So what you're saying is that where I live will get very very wet at some point soon. Wonderful. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shana09 5,769 Posted October 24, 2012 So what you're saying is that where I live will get very very wet at some point soon. Wonderful. Wet. Windy. Possibly severe flooding. Yes it might will. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TheApprenticeofKingMickey 3,689 Posted October 24, 2012 It's actually funny. Most of Canada ignores our East Coast until it's in danger. Welp, looks like the maritime provinces will finally be noticed again. INB4 NO1 GETS THE CANADIAN JOKE I'M SAYING 3 baylaust, Shana09 and Queen Tery reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Queen Tery 4,591 Posted October 24, 2012 It's usually funny. Most of Canada ignores our East Coast until it's danger. Welp, looks like the maritime provinces will finally be noticed again. INB4 NO1 GETS THE CANADIAN JOKE I'M SAYING I don't get it. But I'm sure it's hilarious, Genn. Have a like. 2 Shana09 and TheApprenticeofKingMickey reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wolfgang 735 Posted October 24, 2012 sNOW 1 Elijah Gravenhorst reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jim 2,990 Posted October 24, 2012 This could be scary. Looks like it'll just miss me though. Stay safe, guys Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
xoblivionx13 1,133 Posted October 24, 2012 (edited) Lovely....I'll be expecting severe wind and rainy snow on Monday at school....in a trailer....near farms and creeks....and lotsa trees If it were Wednesday I'd be able to say "Happy Wind-sday!" (silly old bear). But seriously, hope everyone stays safe. Edited October 24, 2012 by xoblivionx13 1 _The Door To Light_ reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shana09 5,769 Posted October 24, 2012 (edited) It's actually funny. Most of Canada ignores our East Coast until it's in danger. Welp, looks like the maritime provinces will finally be noticed again. INB4 NO1 GETS THE CANADIAN JOKE I'M SAYING Hurricanes and Tropical Storms have been hitting Canada for a while, like Newfoundland. Hurricane Irene went into Canada and did damage, did you guys hear anything abut that? also i know what u are talking about (due to the fact u just explained it/shot) Lovely....I'll be expecting severe wind and rainy snow on Monday at school....in a trailer....near farms and creeks....and lotsa trees If it were Wednesday I'd be able to say "Happy Wind-sday!" (silly old bear). But seriously, hope everyone stays safe. Good luck, living in a trailer is gonna be hard with gusty winds. Hopefully there is no catastrophic damage (even tho they believe there might be..) This could be scary. Looks like it'll just miss me though. Stay safe, guys wheres ur state Jimmy? By the way guys, it'd be great to enlist your states here. That way I'll tell you guys if it'll be affecting you in a way. Edited October 24, 2012 by Shana09 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
baylaust 2,531 Posted October 24, 2012 It's actually funny. Most of Canada ignores our East Coast until it's in danger. Welp, looks like the maritime provinces will finally be noticed again. INB4 NO1 GETS THE CANADIAN JOKE I'M SAYING I c wat u did tharr. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TheApprenticeofKingMickey 3,689 Posted October 24, 2012 Hurricanes and Tropical Storms have been hitting Canada for a while, like Newfoundland. Hurricane Irene went into Canada and did damage, did you guys hear anything abut that? also i know what u are talking about (due to the fact u just explained it/shot) It's a Canadian thing. Nobody likes the Eastern provinces so we ignore them. 8D And then we only pay attention to our Western provinces because we're actually cool. Which is why when I find out America favourites their East Coast and neglects their West Coast, I'm like, "wut." Ehhhhh, not that I've heard of it. Most likely it was reported it on but like I said, no one pays attention to our maritime provinces so it wasn't made into a huge national issue. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Shana09 5,769 Posted October 24, 2012 It's a Canadian thing. Nobody likes the Eastern provinces so we ignore them. 8D And then we only pay attention to our Western provinces because we're actually cool. Which is why when I find out America favourites their East Coast and neglects their West Coast, I'm like, "wut." Ehhhhh, not that I've heard of it. Most likely it was reported it on but like I said, no one pays attention to our maritime provinces so it wasn't made into a huge national issue. America does pay attention to the West coast at times, since first of all: California. Also a lot of severe stuff happen so it gets attention. East Coast gets a buttload of attention though. poor maritime provinces Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
King Riku 2,063 Posted October 24, 2012 Well damn, it's going to hit my town. This just sucks. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Pyrrha Nikos 1,162 Posted October 24, 2012 Good thing I live in the West coast Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Crown Unlimit 234 Posted October 24, 2012 I live in the Florida Keys, and we're expecting it tonight or tomorrow. I might not have school tomorrow (: More time to read and play Just Dance lol. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Rob 5,571 Posted October 25, 2012 Saw this on the news today. inb4noschooltomorrow.....oh wait Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites